![]() ![]() So, it wouldn’t be surprising to see UCP candidates on the doorstep play up the UCP as a conservative movement while they play down Smith as leader.Īlbertans saw a similar tactic in the 2004 election, when Ralph Klein was losing his lustre as province’s Progressive Conservative everyman premier. As an online poll it has no reported margin of error. Leger conducted a survey of 1,000 people April 28-May 1. “You’re hearing about people going door-knocking in Calgary saying, ‘Vote for the party, not the leader.’ ”Ī succession of opinion polls have pointed to a dead heat provincewide, but diving into the weeds reveals Albertans tend to have a higher opinion of NDP Leader Rachel Notley than of Smith.Ī Leger report last week said Albertans see Notley being more honest than Smith (37 per cent to 23), more trustworthy (38 to 24), a better communicator (40 to 26) and “best represents Albertans” (37 to 31). ![]() “Win or lose on May 29, Smith is going to be gone,” says Duane Bratt, a prominent political scientist with Calgary’s Mount Royal University. Alberta conservatives don’t just like a winner, they want a Winner with a capital W.Īccording to a litany of opinion polls, this nail-biter of an election campaign between the UCP and NDP could well end up with a small majority government. In fact, she has proven to be so controversial there is growing speculation that if Smith ekes out a small majority government she will be forced out as party leader by an internal party revolt. Opinion polls have so far indicated many Albertans simply don’t see the gaffe-prone Smith as a trustworthy or capable premier. The emergency gives her the opportunity to show herself as a competent leader. In crass political terms, this might be a pivotal moment for Smith. ![]() This is especially true for UCP Leader Danielle Smith, who is now facing the challenge of being both the leader of her party’s campaign in a tight race and the leader of a government facing a crisis. ![]() How do political parties campaign during a general election when the province is under a state of emergency? EDMONTON-The wildfires ripping through northern Alberta have generated not only a human crisis but a political predicament. ![]()
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